Sweden’s January core inflation surprised on the upside. Thus, economists at Commerzbank expect the Riksbank to deliver more rate hikes, lifting the Krona. The Riksbank might have to do more
“Even though headline inflation fell slightly more significantly in January to 9.3%, the core rate rose to a new high of 8.7%. That means there is broad-based price pressure, showing no sign of abating. Against this background, the Riksbank’s hawkish February decision, which became obvious once again with the publication of the minutes yesterday, is more than justified.
“It is possible that Riksbank will have to do even more, especially to control core inflation if it turns out to be too stubborn or risen even further. And particularly because the Riksbank was so hawkish in February, it is credible in its fight against inflation, so the likelihood of it hiking its key rate above the signaled peak if necessary has risen.”
“Future inflation data will determine how far the Riksbank will have to move. However, after the February meeting, it has become less questionable that it will take all necessary measures. That is why I feel confident that SEK still has some catching up and is likely to appreciate.”
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