The Jackson Hole Economic Symposium was the week’s highlight as market participants awaited Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech. With the annual event hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, this year’s topic discusses ‘Reassessing Constraints on the Economy and Policy’ and the prominent threat of inflation.
Preceding Powell’s commentary, a softer Core PCE (the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation) print initially allowed Bitcoin to move higher before plunging through prior support turned resistance at $21,500. Then, as hopes of a 50-basis point rate hike at the September FOMC dwindled, the major cryptocurrency erased gains providing a platform for bearish continuation.
With monetary policy focused on driving inflation back towards the Fed’s target of 2% without disrupting the labor market, it could be another big week for crypto.
While markets continue to price in expectations, the US Dollar and Bitcoin may continue to whipsaw in anticipation of August ISM data and the NFP report. With rate expectations favoring another 75-point rate hike next month, higher yields will likely continue jeopardizing the bullish move.
As the total market capitalization of the crypto industry dips back below $1 Trillion, both fundamental and technical levels may increase volatility and an increase in momentum.
In terms of technical analysis, a hold below $21,000 and below the lower bound of the bearish flag at around $20,300 could drive price action back towards the July low of $18,905, with the June low then coming into play at $17,592.