AUD/USD Begins Bearish Formation After 2-Month Peak


The AUD/USD pair faces rejection near a technically significant 200-day SMA on Friday and witnesses a modest pullback from the vicinity of a two-month high touched the previous day. However, the pair manages to bounce a few pips from the daily low and now seems stabilized around the 0.7100 round-figure mark.

The US dollar gains some positive traction and stalls its recent decline to the lowest level since late June, which, in turn, exerts some downward pressure on the AUD/USD pair. Despite signs of easing inflationary pressures in the US, the recent hawkish comments by several Fed officials indicated that the US central bank would stick to its policy tightening path. This key factor prompted traders to lighten their USD bearish bets on the last day of the week.

That said, a combination of factors might hold back the USD bulls from placing aggressive bets and help limit losses for the AUD/USD pair, at least for the time being. A modest pullback in the US Treasury bond yields could be a headwind for the buck. Apart from this, a generally positive tone around the equity markets could further contribute to cap gains for the safe-haven greenback and lend some support to the risk-sensitive Aussie. This, in turn, warrants some caution for bearish traders.

Nevertheless, the AUD/USD pair remains on track to post strong weekly gains, marking the third in the previous four and registering its highest weekly close since May. Traders now look forward to the US economic docket, featuring the release of the Preliminary Michigan US Consumer Sentiment Index.  This, along with the US bond yields and the broader risk sentiment, might influence the USD price dynamics during the early North American session and provide some impetus to the AUD/USD pair.

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